PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Jose Amalfitani

Vélez Sarsfield 1–0 Central Córdoba · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vélez Sarsfield won 1–0.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
82
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Velez Sarsfield beat Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0. Recorded in this match (Velez Sarsfield – Central Cordoba de Santiago): shots 20–10, shots on target 8–2, possession 57%–43%, corners 4–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Central Cordoba de Santiago's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Central Cordoba de Santiago's last-five shots average is below their season average.

5.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season7.87 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots5.6 shots/match7.87 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Central Cordoba de Santiago have a visible away split

moderate

Central Cordoba de Santiago's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.63 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season7.87 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.63 shots/match7.87 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Velez Sarsfield show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Velez Sarsfield's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsVelez Sarsfield · Central Cordoba de Santiago7.87 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVelez SarsfieldCentral Cordoba de SantiagoBaseline
Shots11 shots/match7.87 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsVélez Sarsfield 20 shots, Central Córdoba 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsVélez Sarsfield 8 shots, Central Córdoba 2 shots
  • Possession57%43%Vélez Sarsfield 57%, Central Córdoba 43%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersVélez Sarsfield 4 corners, Central Córdoba 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsVélez Sarsfield 8 fouls, Central Córdoba 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsVélez Sarsfield 1 card, Central Córdoba 2 cards
  • Passes400 passes300 passesVélez Sarsfield 400 passes, Central Córdoba 300 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%68%Vélez Sarsfield 77%, Central Córdoba 68%
  • Shots inside box16 shots5 shotsVélez Sarsfield 16 shots, Central Córdoba 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksVélez Sarsfield 4 blocks, Central Córdoba 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesVélez Sarsfield 2 saves, Central Córdoba 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesVélez Sarsfield 1 offside, Central Córdoba 5 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vélez Sarsfield favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Central Córdoba in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vélez Sarsfield15 matchesCentral Córdoba15 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.53 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.4 goals/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots15/157.87 shots/match
3.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/152.27 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession15/1544.1%
3.87 corners/match ●Corners15/153.67 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/93.56 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsVélez SarsfieldCentral Córdoba
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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