PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Eva Perón

Sarmiento 1–2 Gimnasia y Esgrima · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gimnasia y Esgrima won 1–2.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
37
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gimnasia L.P. beat Sarmiento Junin 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento Junin – Gimnasia L.P.): shots 11–17, shots on target 3–7, possession 44%–56%, corners 3–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia L.P.'s recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gimnasia L.P.'s last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible home split

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsSarmiento 11 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSarmiento 3 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 7 shots
  • Possession44%56%Sarmiento 44%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 56%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersSarmiento 3 corners, Gimnasia y Esgrima 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsSarmiento 17 fouls, Gimnasia y Esgrima 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsSarmiento 3 cards, Gimnasia y Esgrima 2 cards
  • Passes302 passes401 passesSarmiento 302 passes, Gimnasia y Esgrima 401 passes
  • Pass accuracy71%77%Sarmiento 71%, Gimnasia y Esgrima 77%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsSarmiento 7 shots, Gimnasia y Esgrima 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block5 blocksSarmiento 1 block, Gimnasia y Esgrima 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveSarmiento 5 saves, Gimnasia y Esgrima 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideSarmiento 2 offsides, Gimnasia y Esgrima 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Gimnasia y Esgrima in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento14 matchesGimnasia y Esgrima14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.36 goals/match
10.6 shots/matchShots14/1411.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target14/143.64 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession14/1447.6%
3.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.36 corners/match
4.27 cards/matchCards11/83 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSarmientoGimnasia y Esgrima
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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