Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P. · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Lorenzo won 1–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Lorenzo beat Estudiantes L.P. 1–0. Recorded in this match (San Lorenzo – Estudiantes L.P.): shots 10–13, shots on target 5–5, possession 43%–57%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.93 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

moderate

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match9.71 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estudiantes L.P. show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes L.P.'s shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsSan Lorenzo · Estudiantes L.P.14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan LorenzoEstudiantes L.P.Baseline
Shots9.71 shots/match14.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsSan Lorenzo 10 shots, Estudiantes L.P. 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSan Lorenzo 5 shots, Estudiantes L.P. 5 shots
  • Possession43%57%San Lorenzo 43%, Estudiantes L.P. 57%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersSan Lorenzo 4 corners, Estudiantes L.P. 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsSan Lorenzo 14 fouls, Estudiantes L.P. 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsSan Lorenzo 4 cards, Estudiantes L.P. 4 cards
  • Passes335 passes450 passesSan Lorenzo 335 passes, Estudiantes L.P. 450 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%83%San Lorenzo 75%, Estudiantes L.P. 83%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsSan Lorenzo 6 shots, Estudiantes L.P. 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockSan Lorenzo 2 blocks, Estudiantes L.P. 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesSan Lorenzo 5 saves, Estudiantes L.P. 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSan Lorenzo 1 offside, Estudiantes L.P. 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Estudiantes L.P. in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo14 matchesEstudiantes L.P.12 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/12▲ 0.5 goals/match
9.71 shots/matchShots14/12▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/12▲ 5.25 shots/match
48.5%Possession14/12● 54.4%
4.14 corners/matchCorners14/12● 4.75 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards10/93 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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