Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

San Lorenzo 1–0 Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Lorenzo won 1–0.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
55
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Lorenzo beat Estudiantes de La Plata 1–0. Recorded in this match (San Lorenzo – Estudiantes de La Plata): shots 10–13, shots on target 5–5, possession 44%–56%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Lorenzo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Lorenzo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.93 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Lorenzo have a visible home split

moderate

San Lorenzo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.71 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match9.71 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsSan Lorenzo · Estudiantes de La Plata14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSan LorenzoEstudiantes de La PlataBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsSan Lorenzo 10 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSan Lorenzo 5 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 5 shots
  • Possession44%56%San Lorenzo 44%, Estudiantes de La Plata 56%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersSan Lorenzo 4 corners, Estudiantes de La Plata 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsSan Lorenzo 14 fouls, Estudiantes de La Plata 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Lorenzo favored in 2 of 9 directional metrics · Estudiantes de La Plata in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Lorenzo14 matchesEstudiantes de La Plata12 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/12▲ 0.5 goals/match
9.71 shots/matchShots14/12▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target14/12▲ 5.25 shots/match
48.5%Possession14/12● 54.2%
4.14 corners/matchCorners14/12● 4.75 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls14/1211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples14 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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