PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Vélez Sarsfield · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Vélez Sarsfield won 0–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
21
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Velez Sarsfield beat Estudiantes L.P. 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes L.P. – Velez Sarsfield): shots 13–8, shots on target 2–1, possession 56%–44%, corners 9–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Velez Sarsfield's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Velez Sarsfield's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes L.P. show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Estudiantes L.P.'s shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEstudiantes L.P. · Velez Sarsfield10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Velez SarsfieldBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsEstudiantes L.P. 13 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotEstudiantes L.P. 2 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 1 shot
  • Possession56%44%Estudiantes L.P. 56%, Vélez Sarsfield 44%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersEstudiantes L.P. 9 corners, Vélez Sarsfield 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsEstudiantes L.P. 13 fouls, Vélez Sarsfield 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsEstudiantes L.P. 4 cards, Vélez Sarsfield 4 cards
  • Passes406 passes318 passesEstudiantes L.P. 406 passes, Vélez Sarsfield 318 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%77%Estudiantes L.P. 84%, Vélez Sarsfield 77%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsEstudiantes L.P. 5 shots, Vélez Sarsfield 4 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks0 blocksEstudiantes L.P. 9 blocks, Vélez Sarsfield 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesEstudiantes L.P. 0 saves, Vélez Sarsfield 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideEstudiantes L.P. 3 offsides, Vélez Sarsfield 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes L.P. favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vélez Sarsfield in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes L.P.8 matchesVélez Sarsfield10 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/100.5 goals/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/1010.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/103.1 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession8/1052%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners8/104 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/1011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Mar 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes L.P.Vélez Sarsfield
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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