PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes L.P. won 1–0.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes L.P. beat Sarmiento Junin 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes L.P. – Sarmiento Junin): shots 12–13, shots on target 7–3, possession 43%–57%, corners 4–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible away split

moderate

Sarmiento Junin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsEstudiantes L.P. 12 shots, Sarmiento 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsEstudiantes L.P. 7 shots, Sarmiento 3 shots
  • Possession43%57%Estudiantes L.P. 43%, Sarmiento 57%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersEstudiantes L.P. 4 corners, Sarmiento 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsEstudiantes L.P. 14 fouls, Sarmiento 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsEstudiantes L.P. 4 cards, Sarmiento 4 cards
  • Passes274 passes384 passesEstudiantes L.P. 274 passes, Sarmiento 384 passes
  • Pass accuracy72%80%Estudiantes L.P. 72%, Sarmiento 80%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsEstudiantes L.P. 7 shots, Sarmiento 7 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks4 blocksEstudiantes L.P. 0 blocks, Sarmiento 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesEstudiantes L.P. 3 saves, Sarmiento 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideEstudiantes L.P. 0 offsides, Sarmiento 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes L.P. favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes L.P.6 matchesSarmiento7 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.57 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71 goal/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/711.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/74.14 shots/match
50.8%Possession6/7● 51.1%
4 corners/match ●Corners6/73.71 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards6/64.5 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/714.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes L.P.Sarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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