PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata 1–0 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes de La Plata won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes de La Plata beat Sarmiento 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de La Plata – Sarmiento): shots 12–12, shots on target 7–3, possession 43%–57%, corners 4–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento have a visible away split

moderate

Sarmiento's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsEstudiantes de La Plata · Sarmiento11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstudiantes de La PlataSarmientoBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 12 shots, Sarmiento 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 7 shots, Sarmiento 3 shots
  • Possession43%57%Estudiantes de La Plata 43%, Sarmiento 57%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersEstudiantes de La Plata 4 corners, Sarmiento 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsEstudiantes de La Plata 14 fouls, Sarmiento 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 8 of 9 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata6 matchesSarmiento7 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.57 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71 goal/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/711.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/74.14 shots/match
50.8%Possession6/7● 51.1%
4 corners/match ●Corners6/73.71 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/714.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de La PlataSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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