PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia 0–1 Belgrano · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Belgrano won 0–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
33
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Belgrano Cordoba beat Independ. Rivadavia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Independ. Rivadavia – Belgrano Cordoba): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–3, possession 48%–52%, corners 8–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independ. Rivadavia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independ. Rivadavia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsIndepend. Rivadavia · Belgrano Cordoba13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaBelgrano CordobaBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match13 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.4 corners/matchCornersIndepend. Rivadavia · Belgrano Cordoba● 5.4 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaBelgrano CordobaBaseline
Corners4.4 corners/match5.4 corners/match4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Belgrano Cordoba have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionIndepend. Rivadavia · Belgrano Cordoba● 52.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaBelgrano CordobaBaseline
Possession44.4%52.8%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 15 shots, Belgrano 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 3 shots, Belgrano 3 shots
  • Possession48%52%Independiente Rivadavia 48%, Belgrano 52%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersIndependiente Rivadavia 8 corners, Belgrano 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 14 fouls, Belgrano 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 2 cards, Belgrano 2 cards
  • Passes314 passes356 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 314 passes, Belgrano 356 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%81%Independiente Rivadavia 77%, Belgrano 81%
  • Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Belgrano 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 2 blocks, Belgrano 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 2 saves, Belgrano 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideIndependiente Rivadavia 2 offsides, Belgrano 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Belgrano in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia5 matchesBelgrano5 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.4 goals/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/5● 52.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.4 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaBelgrano
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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