PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco

Huracán 1–0 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Huracán won 1–0.

Shots
103
Shots on target
50
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huracan beat Sarmiento Junin 1–0. Recorded in this match (Huracan – Sarmiento Junin): shots 10–3, shots on target 5–0, possession 55%–45%, corners 6–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sarmiento Junin have a visible away split

weak

Sarmiento Junin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match11 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14 fouls/matchFoulsHuracan · Sarmiento Junin17.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHuracanSarmiento JuninBaseline
Fouls14 fouls/match17.2 fouls/match11.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Sarmiento Junin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sarmiento Junin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHuracan · Sarmiento Junin11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHuracanSarmiento JuninBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against8.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots3 shotsHuracán 10 shots, Sarmiento 3 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsHuracán 5 shots, Sarmiento 0 shots
  • Possession55%45%Huracán 55%, Sarmiento 45%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersHuracán 6 corners, Sarmiento 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls23 foulsHuracán 10 fouls, Sarmiento 23 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards7 cardsHuracán 2 cards, Sarmiento 7 cards
  • Passes309 passes263 passesHuracán 309 passes, Sarmiento 263 passes
  • Pass accuracy72%64%Huracán 72%, Sarmiento 64%
  • Shots inside box8 shots1 shotHuracán 8 shots, Sarmiento 1 shot
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockHuracán 2 blocks, Sarmiento 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves4 savesHuracán 0 saves, Sarmiento 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideHuracán 3 offsides, Sarmiento 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huracán favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huracán5 matchesSarmiento5 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51 goal/match
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 11 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
56% ●Possession5/548.8%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.6 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/54.6 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/517.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 02:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsHuracánSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required