Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Eva Perón

Sarmiento 2–1 Atlético Tucumán · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sarmiento won 2–1.

Shots
115
Shots on target
63
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sarmiento Junin beat Atletico Tucuman 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sarmiento Junin – Atletico Tucuman): shots 11–5, shots on target 6–3, possession 49%–51%, corners 3–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sarmiento Junin.

4.82 days ▲Rest daysSarmiento Junin · Atletico Tucuman7.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSarmiento JuninAtletico TucumanBaseline
Rest days4.82 days7.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atletico Tucuman show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atletico Tucuman's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsSarmiento Junin · Atletico Tucuman12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSarmiento JuninAtletico TucumanBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12.5 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match8.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsSarmiento 11 shots, Atlético Tucumán 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsSarmiento 6 shots, Atlético Tucumán 3 shots
  • Possession49%51%Sarmiento 49%, Atlético Tucumán 51%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersSarmiento 3 corners, Atlético Tucumán 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsSarmiento 18 fouls, Atlético Tucumán 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards6 cardsSarmiento 3 cards, Atlético Tucumán 6 cards
  • Passes295 passes300 passesSarmiento 295 passes, Atlético Tucumán 300 passes
  • Pass accuracy68%66%Sarmiento 68%, Atlético Tucumán 66%
  • Shots inside box10 shots2 shotsSarmiento 10 shots, Atlético Tucumán 2 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockSarmiento 1 block, Atlético Tucumán 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesSarmiento 2 saves, Atlético Tucumán 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideSarmiento 0 offsides, Atlético Tucumán 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sarmiento favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Tucumán in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sarmiento4 matchesAtlético Tucumán4 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots4/412.5 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.8%Possession4/4● 55%
4 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.5 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards4/43.75 cards/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

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