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Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 Sarmiento · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Rivadavia won 2–1.

Shots
1916
Shots on target
87
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independ. Rivadavia beat Sarmiento Junin 2–1. Recorded in this match (Independ. Rivadavia – Sarmiento Junin): shots 19–16, shots on target 8–7, possession 41%–59%, corners 4–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independ. Rivadavia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independ. Rivadavia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsIndepend. Rivadavia · Sarmiento Junin13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaSarmiento JuninBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match17.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Sarmiento Junin have recorded the higher season possession share.

41%PossessionIndepend. Rivadavia · Sarmiento Junin● 50%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricIndepend. RivadaviaSarmiento JuninBaseline
Possession41%50%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots16 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 19 shots, Sarmiento 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 8 shots, Sarmiento 7 shots
  • Possession41%59%Independiente Rivadavia 41%, Sarmiento 59%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerIndependiente Rivadavia 4 corners, Sarmiento 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Rivadavia 10 fouls, Sarmiento 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsIndependiente Rivadavia 0 cards, Sarmiento 3 cards
  • Passes272 passes399 passesIndependiente Rivadavia 272 passes, Sarmiento 399 passes
  • Pass accuracy69%77%Independiente Rivadavia 69%, Sarmiento 77%
  • Shots inside box16 shots7 shotsIndependiente Rivadavia 16 shots, Sarmiento 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksIndependiente Rivadavia 3 blocks, Sarmiento 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves6 savesIndependiente Rivadavia 6 saves, Sarmiento 6 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideIndependiente Rivadavia 3 offsides, Sarmiento 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Rivadavia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sarmiento in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Rivadavia3 matchesSarmiento3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed3/31 goal/match
12.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.7 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35.67 shots/match
41%Possession3/3● 50%
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/34.33 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Feb 2026, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente RivadaviaSarmiento
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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