PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Allianz Field

Minnesota United 1–0 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Minnesota United won 1–0.

Shots
1613
Shots on target
54
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Minnesota United FC beat FC Cincinnati 1–0. Recorded in this match (Minnesota United FC – FC Cincinnati): shots 16–13, shots on target 5–4, possession 45%–55%, corners 5–12. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots13 shotsMinnesota United 16 shots, FC Cincinnati 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsMinnesota United 5 shots, FC Cincinnati 4 shots
  • Possession45%55%Minnesota United 45%, FC Cincinnati 55%
  • Corners5 corners12 cornersMinnesota United 5 corners, FC Cincinnati 12 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsMinnesota United 9 fouls, FC Cincinnati 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsMinnesota United 2 cards, FC Cincinnati 0 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Minnesota United
0Draws
2FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer1–2
Minnesota United — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
6.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.99 days

Minnesota United / FC Cincinnati

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMinnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headMinnesota United — FC Cincinnati
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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