Primeira Liga · 2025Estadio Municipal de Famalicao

Famalicão 1–0 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Famalicão won 1–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.560.46
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Famalicao beat Alverca 1–0. Recorded in this match (Famalicao – Alverca): shots 11–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.56–0.46, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alverca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFamalicao · Alverca9.86 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFamalicaoAlvercaBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match9.86 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsFamalicão 11 shots, FC Alverca 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotFamalicão 2 shots, FC Alverca 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.56 xG0.46 xGFamalicão 0.56 xG, FC Alverca 0.46 xG
  • Possession50%50%Famalicão 50%, FC Alverca 50%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersFamalicão 6 corners, FC Alverca 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsFamalicão 9 fouls, FC Alverca 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsFamalicão 1 card, FC Alverca 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gil Dias · Famalicao · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGil Dias · Famalicao · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDavy Gui · Alverca · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Pinheiro · Famalicao · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSimon Elisor · Famalicao · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Van De Looi · Famalicao · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Sá · Famalicao · 27′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicao · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicao · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTom Van De Looi · Famalicao · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSorriso · Famalicao · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSandro Lima · Alverca · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedUmar Abubakar · Famalicao · 83′ · 0.14 xG · goalSteven Baseya · Alverca · 34′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Famalicao: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG. Alverca: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Umar Abubakar · Famalicao · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Famalicao 0.53 xG · Alverca 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Famalicão
0Draws
1FC Alverca
FC Alverca — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Famalicão favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Famalicão36 matchesFC Alverca36 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.06 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.47 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.2 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots36/369.86 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.53 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession36/3645.7%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners36/364.47 corners/match
2.62 cards/matchCards26/252.6 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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