PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025FC Alverca Sports Complex

FC Alverca 2–1 FC Arouca · Primeira Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 2–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.060.88
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alverca beat Arouca 2–1. Recorded in this match (Alverca – Arouca): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.06–0.88, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alverca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsFC Alverca 7 shots, FC Arouca 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFC Alverca 3 shots, FC Arouca 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.88 xGFC Alverca 1.06 xG, FC Arouca 0.88 xG
  • Possession36%64%FC Alverca 36%, FC Arouca 64%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFC Alverca 6 corners, FC Arouca 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsFC Alverca 8 fouls, FC Arouca 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards5 cardsFC Alverca 0 cards, FC Arouca 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Naïs Djouahra · Arouca · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEspen Van Ee · Arouca · 49′ · 0.01 xG · goalEspen Van Ee · Arouca · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Alverca · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBas Kuipers · Arouca · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNaïs Djouahra · Arouca · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFigueiredo · Alverca · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIvan Barbero · Arouca · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJose Fontán · Arouca · 14′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Trezza · Arouca · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPablo Gozálbez · Arouca · 2′ · 0.31 xG · on targetKaiky Naves · Alverca · 9′ · 0.35 xG · goalMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 71′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alverca: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG. Arouca: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Kaiky Naves · Alverca · 9′Marko Milovanović · Alverca · 71′Espen Van Ee · Arouca · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alverca 1.08 xG · Arouca 0.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Alverca
0Draws
1FC Arouca
FC Arouca — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca33 matchesFC Arouca33 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.85 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/310.98 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 10.7 shots/match
3.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.42 shots/match
45.7%Possession33/33● 50.5%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners33/333.67 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards25/273.04 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AlvercaFC Arouca
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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