Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 1–2 FC Porto · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 1–2.

Shots
612
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.991.19
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat SC Braga 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – FC Porto): shots 6–12, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.99–1.19, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.54 corners/match ●CornersSC Braga · FC Porto5.46 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaFC PortoBaseline
Corners5.54 corners/match5.46 corners/match4.36 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Braga's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.8% ●PossessionSC Braga · FC Porto55.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaFC PortoBaseline
Possession63.8%55.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots12 shotsSporting Braga 6 shots, FC Porto 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsSporting Braga 1 shot, FC Porto 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.19 xGSporting Braga 0.99 xG, FC Porto 1.19 xG
  • Possession62%38%Sporting Braga 62%, FC Porto 38%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersSporting Braga 3 corners, FC Porto 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsSporting Braga 12 fouls, FC Porto 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsSporting Braga 4 cards, FC Porto 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alan Varela · FC Porto · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPepê · FC Porto · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Dorgeles · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOskar Pietuszewski · FC Porto · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Froholdt · FC Porto · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSeko Fofana · FC Porto · 80′ · 0.06 xG · goalSeko Fofana · FC Porto · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOskar Pietuszewski · FC Porto · 7′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Gomes · FC Porto · 69′ · 0.49 xG · goalRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 6 shots, 1 on target, 1.03 xG. FC Porto: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.21 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 54′William Gomes · FC Porto · 69′Seko Fofana · FC Porto · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 1.03 xG · FC Porto 1.21 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sporting Braga
0Draws
4FC Porto
FC Porto — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1
Sporting Braga — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–0
FC Porto — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–1
Sporting Braga — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–1
FC Porto — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · FC Porto in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga28 matchesFC Porto28 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/282 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.39 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/271.82 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target28/285.32 shots/match
63.8% ●Possession28/2855.6%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners28/285.46 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCards25/252.36 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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