PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia 0–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Estoril Praia and Casa Pia drew 0–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.651.47
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estoril and Casa Pia drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Estoril – Casa Pia): shots 9–9, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.65–1.47, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.81 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsEstoril · Casa Pia8.48 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstorilCasa PiaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match8.48 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Estoril have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.2% ●PossessionEstoril · Casa Pia42.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEstorilCasa PiaBaseline
Possession53.2%42.9%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsEstoril Praia 9 shots, Casa Pia 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsEstoril Praia 1 shot, Casa Pia 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.47 xGEstoril Praia 0.65 xG, Casa Pia 1.47 xG
  • Possession64%36%Estoril Praia 64%, Casa Pia 36%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersEstoril Praia 4 corners, Casa Pia 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsEstoril Praia 10 fouls, Casa Pia 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsEstoril Praia 2 cards, Casa Pia 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 38′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGonçalo Costa · Estoril · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJandro Orellana · Estoril · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDailon Rocha Livramento · Casa Pia · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdu Conté · Casa Pia · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafik Guitane · Estoril · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafik Guitane · Estoril · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRafael Brito · Casa Pia · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Holsgrove · Estoril · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Marqués · Estoril · 85′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 88′ · 0.58 xG · off target or blockedCassiano · Casa Pia · 43′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estoril: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.67 xG. Casa Pia: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estoril 0.67 xG · Casa Pia 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Estoril Praia
2Draws
1Casa Pia
Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–2
Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga1–3
Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga0–0
Estoril Praia — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia27 matchesCasa Pia27 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.15 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.93 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots27/278.48 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/272.93 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession27/2742.9%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners27/273.52 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards25/253.12 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2715.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstoril PraiaCasa Pia
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — Casa Pia
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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