PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Braga

Sporting Braga 2–1 Moreirense · Primeira Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
2.060.91
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Moreirense 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Braga – Moreirense): shots 11–11, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 2.06–0.91, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Braga · Moreirense9.18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaMoreirenseBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match9.18 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Braga's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3% ●PossessionSC Braga · Moreirense47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC BragaMoreirenseBaseline
Possession65.3%47.3%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsSporting Braga 11 shots, Moreirense 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotSporting Braga 3 shots, Moreirense 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.06 xG0.91 xGSporting Braga 2.06 xG, Moreirense 0.91 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sporting Braga 53%, Moreirense 47%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSporting Braga 5 corners, Moreirense 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsSporting Braga 13 fouls, Moreirense 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsSporting Braga 3 cards, Moreirense 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luís Semedo · Moreirense · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCedric Teguia · Moreirense · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoel Jorquera · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Martins · Moreirense · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlan · Moreirense · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Travassos · Moreirense · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 77′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martínez · SC Braga · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlan · Moreirense · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMateja Stjepanović · Moreirense · 26′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 79′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMaracás · Moreirense · 82′ · 0.21 xG · goalRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 71′ · 0.29 xG · goalLuís Semedo · Moreirense · 79′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 64′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Braga: 11 shots, 3 on target, 2.16 xG. Moreirense: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 13′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 71′Maracás · Moreirense · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Braga 2.16 xG · Moreirense 0.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Sporting Braga
0Draws
0Moreirense
Moreirense — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga3–1
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0
Moreirense — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga2–3
Sporting Braga — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Moreirense in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga12 matchesMoreirense11 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/111.45 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/111.36 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.09 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots12/119.18 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/113 shots/match
65.3% ●Possession12/1147.3%
6 corners/match ●Corners12/113.64 corners/match
2.09 cards/matchCards11/113 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1114.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 10 Nov 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaMoreirense
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting Braga — Moreirense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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