PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 1–1 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting and Sporting Braga drew 1–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.751.5
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP and SC Braga drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – SC Braga): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.75–1.5, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.63 corners/matchCornersSporting CP · SC Braga● 6.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPSC BragaBaseline
Corners6.63 corners/match6.67 corners/match4.33 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

SC Braga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Braga's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · SC Braga14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPSC BragaBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against7.75 shots/match9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsSporting 13 shots, Sporting Braga 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsSporting 3 shots, Sporting Braga 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG1.5 xGSporting 1.75 xG, Sporting Braga 1.5 xG
  • Possession44%56%Sporting 44%, Sporting Braga 56%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersSporting 1 corner, Sporting Braga 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsSporting 19 fouls, Sporting Braga 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsSporting 4 cards, Sporting Braga 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVítor Carvalho · SC Braga · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHidemasa Morita · Sporting CP · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGiorgi Kochorashvili · Sporting CP · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGiorgi Kochorashvili · Sporting CP · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGiorgi Kochorashvili · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 19′ · 0.12 xG · goalPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Lelo · SC Braga · 54′ · 0.20 xG · on targetGeorgios Vagiannidis · Sporting CP · 51′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.41 xG. SC Braga: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 19′Rodrigo Zalazar · SC Braga · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 1.41 xG · SC Braga 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Sporting
2Draws
0Sporting Braga
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–1
Sporting Braga — Sporting · Primeira Liga2–4
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga5–0
Sporting Braga — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–1
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting8 matchesSporting Braga9 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/91.56 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/91.11 goals/match
2.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.58 xG/match
18.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/914.4 shots/match
6.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/95.44 shots/match
60%Possession8/9● 66.8%
6.63 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6.67 corners/match
2.13 cards/matchCards8/82 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/99.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 22:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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