PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara 2–1 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 2–1.

Shots
143
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.640.57
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat Alverca 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – Alverca): shots 14–3, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.64–0.57, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca have a visible away split

weak

Alverca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

5.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season8.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots5.33 shots/match8.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSanta Clara · Alverca8.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraAlvercaBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match8.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against8.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsSanta Clara 14 shots, FC Alverca 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsSanta Clara 6 shots, FC Alverca 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG0.57 xGSanta Clara 1.64 xG, FC Alverca 0.57 xG
  • Possession55%45%Santa Clara 55%, FC Alverca 45%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersSanta Clara 7 corners, FC Alverca 0 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsSanta Clara 16 fouls, FC Alverca 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards4 cardsSanta Clara 6 cards, FC Alverca 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdriano Firmino · Santa Clara · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatheus Araújo · Santa Clara · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Araújo · Santa Clara · 30′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFigueiredo · Alverca · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Carter · Santa Clara · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Leite · Alverca · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVinícius Lopes · Santa Clara · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Silva · Santa Clara · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Araújo · Santa Clara · 90′ · 0.31 xG · goalBrenner · Santa Clara · 7′ · 0.34 xG · on targetLincoln · Alverca · 19′ · 0.34 xG · goalSerginho · Santa Clara · 9′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.96 xG. Alverca: 3 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Serginho · Santa Clara · 9′Matheus Araújo · Santa Clara · 90′Lincoln · Alverca · 19′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 1.96 xG · Alverca 0.43 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santa Clara favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santa Clara6 matchesFC Alverca6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.22 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/68.5 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession6/643.2%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/62.5 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards6/63 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls6/615 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSanta ClaraFC Alverca
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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