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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Do Dragão

FC Porto 1–0 CD Nacional · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Porto won 1–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.880.08
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Porto beat Nacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Porto – Nacional): shots 11–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.88–0.08, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.4 corners/matchCornersFC Porto · Nacional● 6.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoNacionalBaseline
Corners5.4 corners/match6.2 corners/match3.8 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

FC Porto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Porto · Nacional9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoNacionalBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match9 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6% ●PossessionFC Porto · Nacional38.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC PortoNacionalBaseline
Possession56.6%38.4%45.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsFC Porto 11 shots, CD Nacional 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotFC Porto 5 shots, CD Nacional 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.88 xG0.08 xGFC Porto 1.88 xG, CD Nacional 0.08 xG
  • Possession69%31%FC Porto 69%, CD Nacional 31%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersFC Porto 5 corners, CD Nacional 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsFC Porto 6 fouls, CD Nacional 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFC Porto 2 cards, CD Nacional 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Paulinho Bóia · Nacional · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPaulinho Bóia · Nacional · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZe Vitor · Nacional · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoel Silva · Nacional · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLéo Santos · Nacional · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChiheb Labidi · Nacional · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Mora · FC Porto · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBorja Sainz · FC Porto · 35′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPepê · FC Porto · 85′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGabri Veiga · FC Porto · 88′ · 0.40 xG · on targetPepê · FC Porto · 73′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedSamu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 31′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Porto: 11 shots, 5 on target, 2.19 xG. Nacional: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Samu Aghehowa · FC Porto · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Porto 2.19 xG · Nacional 0.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Porto
0Draws
1CD Nacional
FC Porto — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga3–0
CD Nacional — FC Porto · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Porto favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · CD Nacional in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Porto5 matchesCD Nacional5 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.77 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/59 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession5/538.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/53.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/518.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC PortoCD Nacional
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Porto — CD Nacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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