Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Gomes

CF Estrela Amadora 2–2 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CF Estrela Amadora and FC Alverca drew 2–2.

Shots
196
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.631.17
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estrela and Alverca drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Estrela – Alverca): shots 19–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.63–1.17, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alverca show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Alverca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEstrela · Alverca8.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstrelaAlvercaBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match8.33 shots/match10.3 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 19 shots, FC Alverca 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 6 shots, FC Alverca 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.63 xG1.17 xGCF Estrela Amadora 2.63 xG, FC Alverca 1.17 xG
  • Possession56%44%CF Estrela Amadora 56%, FC Alverca 44%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 6 corners, FC Alverca 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls24 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 18 fouls, FC Alverca 24 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 4 cards, FC Alverca 5 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jovane Cabral · Estrela · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Schappo · Estrela · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Estrela · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKikas · Estrela · 72′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIanis Stoica · Estrela · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalChiquinho · Alverca · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Estrela · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Schappo · Estrela · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlan Godoy · Estrela · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Alverca · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBernardo Schappo · Estrela · 35′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaiky Naves · Alverca · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAtanas Chernev · Estrela · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTiago Leite · Alverca · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · Estrela · 7′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJoão Gastão · Estrela · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlan Godoy · Estrela · 71′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKikas · Estrela · 56′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAtanas Chernev · Estrela · 42′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCédric Nuozzi · Alverca · 37′ · 0.25 xG · goalMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 45′ · 0.58 xG · goalFábio Ronaldo · Estrela · 45′ · 0.66 xG · goalKikas · Estrela · 59′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estrela: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.56 xG. Alverca: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Fábio Ronaldo · Estrela · 45′Sidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 63′Cédric Nuozzi · Alverca · 37′Marko Milovanović · Alverca · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estrela 2.56 xG · Alverca 1.10 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora3 matchesFC Alverca3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/31 goal/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.45 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.33 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
44.3% ●Possession3/339.7%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/31.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Aug 2025, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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