Marseille beat Paris FC 5–2. Recorded in this match (Marseille – Paris FC): shots 11–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.83–1.09, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
Olympique de MarseilleParis FC
Shots11 shots8 shotsOlympique de Marseille 11 shots, Paris FC 8 shots
Shots on target7 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 7 shots, Paris FC 4 shots
Expected goals2.83 xG1.09 xGOlympique de Marseille 2.83 xG, Paris FC 1.09 xG
Possession61%39%Olympique de Marseille 61%, Paris FC 39%
Corners5 corners2 cornersOlympique de Marseille 5 corners, Paris FC 2 corners
Fouls9 fouls12 foulsOlympique de Marseille 9 fouls, Paris FC 12 fouls
Yellow cards1 card0 cardsOlympique de Marseille 1 card, Paris FC 0 cards
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Paris FC← attackingattacking →Marseille
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Marseille: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.87 xG. Paris FC: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.11 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Marseille2.87 xGParis FC1.11 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Marseille 2.87 xG · Paris FC 1.11 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.99 days
Olympique de Marseille / Paris FC
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4