Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 2–4 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent won 2–4.

Shots
2311
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
2.312.01
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gent beat Cercle Brugge 4–2. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Gent): shots 23–11, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 2.31–2.01, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Gent.

6.86 days ▲Rest daysCercle Brugge · Gent4.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCercle BruggeGentBaseline
Rest days6.86 days4.81 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots11 shotsCercle Brugge 23 shots, KAA Gent 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsCercle Brugge 8 shots, KAA Gent 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG2.01 xGCercle Brugge 2.31 xG, KAA Gent 2.01 xG
  • Possession50%50%Cercle Brugge 50%, KAA Gent 50%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersCercle Brugge 10 corners, KAA Gent 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsCercle Brugge 12 fouls, KAA Gent 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsCercle Brugge 2 cards, KAA Gent 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHyllarion Goore · Gent · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHannes Van Der Bruggen · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdelkahar Kadri · Gent · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · Gent · 2′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAbdelkahar Kadri · Gent · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Kanga · Gent · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKrys Kouassi · Cercle Brugge · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 15′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErick Nunes · Cercle Brugge · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAtsuki Ito · Gent · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAtsuki Ito · Gent · 51′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKrys Kouassi · Cercle Brugge · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 62′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 5′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEdgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 43′ · 0.10 xG · goalAlan Minda · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetOluwaseun Adewumi · Cercle Brugge · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedEdan Diop · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOmri Gandelman · Gent · 69′ · 0.21 xG · goalOumar Diakité · Cercle Brugge · 64′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMichał Skóraś · Gent · 16′ · 0.30 xG · goalAtsuki Ito · Gent · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalFranck Surdez · Gent · 87′ · 0.81 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 23 shots, 8 on target, 2.42 xG. Gent: 11 shots, 8 on target, 2.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Steve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 22′Edgaras Utkus · Cercle Brugge · 43′Michał Skóraś · Gent · 16′Atsuki Ito · Gent · 45′Omri Gandelman · Gent · 69′Franck Surdez · Gent · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 2.42 xG · Gent 2.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Cercle Brugge
2Draws
0KAA Gent
KAA Gent — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–1
KAA Gent — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–2
Cercle Brugge — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–0
KAA Gent — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge10 matchesKAA Gent10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.39 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.9 shots/match
47.8%Possession10/10● 55%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners10/104.2 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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