PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Cegeka Arena

KRC Genk 1–2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise won 1–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
0.930.63
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Union St. Gilloise beat Genk 2–1. Recorded in this match (Genk – Union St. Gilloise): shots 15–11, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 0.93–0.63, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union St. Gilloise's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union St. Gilloise's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Genk.

3.71 days ▲Rest daysGenk · Union St. Gilloise7.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGenkUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Rest days3.71 days7.8 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/matchCornersGenk · Union St. Gilloise● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGenkUnion St. GilloiseBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match6 corners/match4.89 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsKRC Genk 15 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsKRC Genk 7 shots, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.63 xGKRC Genk 0.93 xG, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.63 xG
  • Possession64%36%KRC Genk 64%, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 36%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersKRC Genk 8 corners, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsKRC Genk 11 fouls, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsKRC Genk 2 cards, Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFedde Leysen · Union St. Gilloise · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJunya Ito · Genk · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kayembe · Genk · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Heynen · Genk · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatte Smets · Genk · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZakaria El Ouahdi · Genk · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Hrošovský · Genk · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJunya Ito · Genk · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnouar Ait El Hadj · Union St. Gilloise · 17′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalNikolas Sattlberger · Genk · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKen Nkuba · Genk · 72′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKevin Rodriguez · Union St. Gilloise · 89′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNikolas Sattlberger · Genk · 76′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRaul Florucz · Union St. Gilloise · 88′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAdem Zorgane · Union St. Gilloise · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPromise David · Union St. Gilloise · 10′ · 0.21 xG · goalJusef Erabi · Genk · 60′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJunya Ito · Genk · 56′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genk: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.15 xG. Union St. Gilloise: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Junya Ito · Genk · 56′Promise David · Union St. Gilloise · 10′Rob Schoofs · Union St. Gilloise · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genk 1.15 xG · Union St. Gilloise 0.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KRC Genk
0Draws
4Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–0
KRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–2
KRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League2–1
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League4–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk8 matchesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise9 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/9▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.44 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.18 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots8/916.1 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 6.78 shots/match
62.8% ●Possession8/956.8%
5.75 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls8/912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headKRC Genk — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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