PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Jan Breydel Stadion

Cercle Brugge 2–3 RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Sporting Charleroi won 2–3.

Shots
89
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.831.33
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3–2. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – Charleroi): shots 8–9, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.83–1.33, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charleroi have a visible away split

weak

Charleroi's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cercle Brugge show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cercle Brugge's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCercle Brugge · Charleroi11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeCharleroiBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match9.71 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsCercle Brugge 8 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCercle Brugge 2 shots, RC Sporting Charleroi 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.33 xGCercle Brugge 1.83 xG, RC Sporting Charleroi 1.33 xG
  • Possession57%43%Cercle Brugge 57%, RC Sporting Charleroi 43%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCercle Brugge 4 corners, RC Sporting Charleroi 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsCercle Brugge 7 fouls, RC Sporting Charleroi 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCercle Brugge 1 card, RC Sporting Charleroi 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gary Magnee · Cercle Brugge · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlávio Nazinho · Cercle Brugge · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakob Napoleon Romsaas · Charleroi · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDalangunypole Gomis · Cercle Brugge · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLawrence Agyekum · Cercle Brugge · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 39′ · 0.10 xG · goalParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedParfait Guiagon · Charleroi · 80′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Charleroi · 23′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 2′ · 0.21 xG · goalAurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 56′ · 0.42 xG · goalSteve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goalPieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cercle Brugge: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.86 xG. Charleroi: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Steve Ngoura · Cercle Brugge · 54′Pieter Gerkens · Cercle Brugge · 87′Patrick Pflücke · Charleroi · 2′Yassine Titraoui · Charleroi · 39′Aurélien Scheidler · Charleroi · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cercle Brugge 1.86 xG · Charleroi 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cercle Brugge
2Draws
1RC Sporting Charleroi
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League1–1
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League0–0
Cercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi · Belgian Pro League2–0
RC Sporting Charleroi — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · RC Sporting Charleroi in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge8 matchesRC Sporting Charleroi7 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71.29 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/61.15 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots8/711.1 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 4.14 shots/match
47.3%Possession8/7● 50.9%
3.38 corners/matchCorners8/7● 4.14 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/62.33 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls8/713.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeRC Sporting Charleroi
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — RC Sporting Charleroi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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