PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2025Daio Wasabi Stayen

Sint-Truidense VV 2–1 RAAL La Louvière · Belgian Pro League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sint-Truidense VV won 2–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.841.09
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

St. Truiden beat RAAL La Louvière 2–1. Recorded in this match (St. Truiden – RAAL La Louvière): shots 13–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.84–1.09, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RAAL La Louvière show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RAAL La Louvière's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Truiden · RAAL La Louvière10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against7.8 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.4 fouls/matchFoulsSt. Truiden · RAAL La Louvière13.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Fouls15.4 fouls/match13.5 fouls/match11 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

St. Truiden have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.2% ●PossessionSt. Truiden · RAAL La Louvière34.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSt. TruidenRAAL La LouvièreBaseline
Possession55.2%34.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsSint-Truidense VV 13 shots, RAAL La Louvière 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsSint-Truidense VV 7 shots, RAAL La Louvière 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG1.09 xGSint-Truidense VV 1.84 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.09 xG
  • Possession61%39%Sint-Truidense VV 61%, RAAL La Louvière 39%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersSint-Truidense VV 4 corners, RAAL La Louvière 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsSint-Truidense VV 14 fouls, RAAL La Louvière 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSint-Truidense VV 1 card, RAAL La Louvière 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Abdoulaye Sissako · St. Truiden · 3′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlias Sebaoui · St. Truiden · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyotaro Ito · St. Truiden · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoël Ito · RAAL La Louvière · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSekou Sidibe · RAAL La Louvière · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 50′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMaxence Maisonneuve · RAAL La Louvière · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalOucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louvière · 66′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 20′ · 0.12 xG · goalMohamed Guindo · RAAL La Louvière · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetKeisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 68′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louvière · 70′ · 0.16 xG · goalRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 62′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRobert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 57′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedThierry Lutonda · RAAL La Louvière · 10′ · 0.29 xG · on targetRihito Yamamoto · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetMohamed Guindo · RAAL La Louvière · 16′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedKaito Matsuzawa · St. Truiden · 90′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

St. Truiden: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.82 xG. RAAL La Louvière: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Robert-Jan Vanwesemael · St. Truiden · 20′Keisuke Goto · St. Truiden · 90′Oucasse Mendy · RAAL La Louvière · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: St. Truiden 1.82 xG · RAAL La Louvière 1.26 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sint-Truidense VV favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RAAL La Louvière in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sint-Truidense VV5 matchesRAAL La Louvière4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/40.5 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/41.25 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.82 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/410.3 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/42.5 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession5/434.5%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/44.25 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/413.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Aug 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSint-Truidense VVRAAL La Louvière
CompetitionBelgian Pro LeagueBelgian Pro League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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