Serie A · 2025Fri, 8 May 2026, 18:45 UTCFull timeStadio Olimpico di TorinoFull-time recap

Torino

WWDDL
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTorinoSassuolo
Shots18 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals2.82 xG/match2.1 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sassuolo's last-five shots average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sassuolo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Torino
0Draws
0Sassuolo
SassuoloTorino · Serie A01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Torino favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 2 · 5 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 36/361.22 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 36/361.28 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/91.03 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/91.51 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 36/3610.7 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 36/3614.4 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 36/363.78 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 36/364.94 shots/match
43.9%Possessionseason · 36/3645.3%
3.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 36/363.89 corners/match
4.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 36/364.92 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/292.41 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 36/3612 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/3622%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Torino17.5
Sassuolo32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Torino52.5
Sassuolo40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Torino17.5
Sassuolo22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Torino82.5
Sassuolo42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Torino70
Sassuolo61.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Torino32.5
Sassuolo37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Torino58.8
Sassuolo33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.42 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
42.8%Possession5/547.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
Cards0/2
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.03 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots10/1010.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
43.2%Possession10/1045%
3.6 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
Cards2/33.67 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

36 / 36 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.22 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.28 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.03 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots36/3610.7 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target36/363.78 shots/match
43.9%Possession36/3645.3%
3.86 corners/matchCorners36/363.89 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards28/292.41 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls36/3612 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

18 / 18 matches
1.39 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.08 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots18/1810.9 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target18/183.94 shots/match
45.4%Possession18/1844.8%
4.22 corners/matchCorners18/183.89 corners/match
1.86 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.24 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 May 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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