PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:45 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseAC Milan
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession40%60%
Corners1 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: AC Milan have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsUdinese · AC Milan16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAC MilanBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match6.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AC Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%▲PossessionUdinese · AC Milan54.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseAC MilanBaseline
Possession46%54.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · AC Milan in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/40.5 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/416.3 shots/match
12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/46.5 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/42.25 shots/match
46%Possessionseason · 4/454.5%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/46.25 corners/match
6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/42.75 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/475%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
AC Milan62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese49.2
AC Milan82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese46.7
AC Milan92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese57.5
AC Milan92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese43.8
AC Milan16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese20
AC Milan82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese30.6
AC Milan68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲16.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/454.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲16.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/454.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲16.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.25 shots/match
46%Possession4/454.5%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/46.25 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/41 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards2/2—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.24 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseAC Milan
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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