PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos 1–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

Santos

DLWLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos and Fortaleza drew 1–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
48
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos and Fortaleza EC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Fortaleza EC): shots 15–13, shots on target 4–8, possession 68%–32%, corners 7–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsSantos 15 shots, Fortaleza 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsSantos 4 shots, Fortaleza 8 shots
  • Possession68%32%Santos 68%, Fortaleza 32%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersSantos 7 corners, Fortaleza 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls22 foulsSantos 15 fouls, Fortaleza 22 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsSantos 4 cards, Fortaleza 2 cards
  • Passes503 passes238 passesSantos 503 passes, Fortaleza 238 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%69%Santos 87%, Fortaleza 69%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsSantos 8 shots, Fortaleza 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksSantos 4 blocks, Fortaleza 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves4 savesSantos 7 saves, Fortaleza 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesSantos 2 offsides, Fortaleza 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
1Draws
3Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Santos · Serie A2–3
Santos — Fortaleza · Serie A1–2
Fortaleza — Santos · Serie A4–0
Santos — Fortaleza · Serie A0–2
Fortaleza — Santos · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos30 matchesFortaleza30 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.93 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.5 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots30/3013.3 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.2 shots/match
50.1% ●Possession30/3046.4%
4.67 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards30/303.07 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSantosFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSantos — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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