PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena do Grêmio

Grêmio 3–1 Juventude · Serie A

Grêmio

WDLWL
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 3–1.

Shots
209
Shots on target
74
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gremio beat Juventude 3–1. Recorded in this match (Gremio – Juventude): shots 20–9, shots on target 7–4, possession 51%–49%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gremio have a visible home split

moderate

Gremio's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventude's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots9 shotsGrêmio 20 shots, Juventude 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsGrêmio 7 shots, Juventude 4 shots
  • Possession51%49%Grêmio 51%, Juventude 49%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersGrêmio 4 corners, Juventude 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls32 foulsGrêmio 11 fouls, Juventude 32 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards8 cardsGrêmio 3 cards, Juventude 8 cards
  • Passes350 passes335 passesGrêmio 350 passes, Juventude 335 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%84%Grêmio 86%, Juventude 84%
  • Shots inside box14 shots4 shotsGrêmio 14 shots, Juventude 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksGrêmio 4 blocks, Juventude 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesGrêmio 3 saves, Juventude 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesGrêmio 1 offside, Juventude 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Grêmio
1Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Grêmio · Serie A0–2
Grêmio — Juventude · Serie A2–2
Juventude — Grêmio · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio30 matchesJuventude30 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.8 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.87 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots30/3010.5 shots/match
3.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.1 shots/match
44% ●Possession30/3042.6%
3.6 corners/matchCorners30/30● 3.83 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards30/303.17 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3015.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headGrêmio — Juventude
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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