PitchMath
Serie A · 2025MRV Arena

Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Mirassol · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 1–0.

Shots
1124
Shots on target
55
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico-MG beat Mirassol 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico-MG – Mirassol): shots 11–24, shots on target 5–5, possession 30%–70%, corners 4–11. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico-MG's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico-MG's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico-MG show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico-MG's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico-MG · Mirassol13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico-MGMirassolBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots24 shotsAtlético Mineiro 11 shots, Mirassol 24 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAtlético Mineiro 5 shots, Mirassol 5 shots
  • Possession30%70%Atlético Mineiro 30%, Mirassol 70%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersAtlético Mineiro 4 corners, Mirassol 11 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAtlético Mineiro 11 fouls, Mirassol 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsAtlético Mineiro 4 cards, Mirassol 3 cards
  • Passes256 passes575 passesAtlético Mineiro 256 passes, Mirassol 575 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%90%Atlético Mineiro 76%, Mirassol 90%
  • Shots inside box6 shots14 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Mirassol 14 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks9 blocksAtlético Mineiro 4 blocks, Mirassol 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesAtlético Mineiro 5 saves, Mirassol 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesAtlético Mineiro 0 offsides, Mirassol 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Mineiro
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro23 matchesMirassol24 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored23/24▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed23/24▲ 1 goal/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots23/2413.6 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target23/244.88 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession23/2447.5%
6.48 corners/match ●Corners23/245.13 corners/match
2.7 cards/matchCards23/242.29 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroMirassol
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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