PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 0–1 Ceará · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Ceará

WDLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 0–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
26
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat Sao Paulo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Ceara): shots 15–7, shots on target 2–6, possession 61%–39%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sao Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sao Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sao Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionSao Paulo · Ceara41.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSao PauloCearaBaseline
Possession52.2%41.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 15 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsSão Paulo 2 shots, Ceará 6 shots
  • Possession61%39%São Paulo 61%, Ceará 39%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 7 corners, Ceará 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsSão Paulo 14 fouls, Ceará 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsSão Paulo 2 cards, Ceará 3 cards
  • Passes503 passes335 passesSão Paulo 503 passes, Ceará 335 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%79%São Paulo 86%, Ceará 79%
  • Shots inside box8 shots3 shotsSão Paulo 8 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockSão Paulo 4 blocks, Ceará 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesSão Paulo 5 saves, Ceará 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides0 offsidesSão Paulo 0 offsides, Ceará 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1São Paulo
2Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — São Paulo · Serie A1–1
Ceará — São Paulo · Serie A0–2
São Paulo — Ceará · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo25 matchesCeará24 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/240.96 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed25/240.96 goals/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots25/2411.7 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target25/24▲ 4.25 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession25/2441.3%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners25/243.96 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards25/242.33 cards/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Sept 2025, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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