PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Botafogo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 1–0.

Shots
813
Shots on target
22
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Atletico-MG 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Atletico-MG): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–2, possession 32%–68%, corners 7–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico-MG's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atletico-MG's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · Atletico-MG6.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MGBaseline
Rest days2.96 days6.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsBotafogo 8 shots, Atlético Mineiro 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsBotafogo 2 shots, Atlético Mineiro 2 shots
  • Possession32%68%Botafogo 32%, Atlético Mineiro 68%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersBotafogo 7 corners, Atlético Mineiro 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsBotafogo 14 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsBotafogo 5 cards, Atlético Mineiro 2 cards
  • Passes296 passes644 passesBotafogo 296 passes, Atlético Mineiro 644 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%88%Botafogo 80%, Atlético Mineiro 88%
  • Shots inside box5 shots7 shotsBotafogo 5 shots, Atlético Mineiro 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksBotafogo 3 blocks, Atlético Mineiro 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveBotafogo 2 saves, Atlético Mineiro 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesBotafogo 1 offside, Atlético Mineiro 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo
1Draws
2Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A3–0
Atlético Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A1–0
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo23 matchesAtlético Mineiro22 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/220.95 goals/match
0.74 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/221.18 goals/match
14.3 shots/matchShots23/22▲ 15.7 shots/match
5.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/224.64 shots/match
51.7%Possession23/22● 55.7%
4.91 corners/matchCorners23/22● 6.59 corners/match
2.22 cards/matchCards23/222.59 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls23/2213.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headBotafogo — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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