PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Do MorumBIS

São Paulo 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
32
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sao Paulo beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Botafogo): shots 11–12, shots on target 3–2, possession 48%–52%, corners 4–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsSão Paulo 11 shots, Botafogo 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSão Paulo 3 shots, Botafogo 2 shots
  • Possession48%52%São Paulo 48%, Botafogo 52%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersSão Paulo 4 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsSão Paulo 11 fouls, Botafogo 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardSão Paulo 3 cards, Botafogo 1 card
  • Passes443 passes490 passesSão Paulo 443 passes, Botafogo 490 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%82%São Paulo 84%, Botafogo 82%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 7 shots, Botafogo 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksSão Paulo 2 blocks, Botafogo 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesSão Paulo 2 saves, Botafogo 2 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides0 offsidesSão Paulo 5 offsides, Botafogo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
3Draws
2Botafogo
Botafogo — São Paulo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — São Paulo · Serie A2–1
São Paulo — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
São Paulo — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Botafogo — São Paulo · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo23 matchesBotafogo21 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored23/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed23/21▲ 0.67 goals/match
12.8 shots/matchShots23/21▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target23/21▲ 5.24 shots/match
51.7%Possession23/21● 52.4%
4.96 corners/match ●Corners23/214.76 corners/match
2.83 cards/matchCards23/211.95 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Sept 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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