PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceará 1–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Ceará

LLWDL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
42
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat RB Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceara – RB Bragantino): shots 10–9, shots on target 4–2, possession 44%–56%, corners 3–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsCeará 10 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCeará 4 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 2 shots
  • Possession44%56%Ceará 44%, Red Bull Bragantino 56%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCeará 3 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 4 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls16 foulsCeará 23 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsCeará 3 cards, Red Bull Bragantino 4 cards
  • Passes348 passes447 passesCeará 348 passes, Red Bull Bragantino 447 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%87%Ceará 80%, Red Bull Bragantino 87%
  • Shots inside box6 shots3 shotsCeará 6 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockCeará 2 blocks, Red Bull Bragantino 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesCeará 2 saves, Red Bull Bragantino 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCeará 2 offsides, Red Bull Bragantino 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
2Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Ceará · Serie A2–2
Red Bull Bragantino — Ceará · Serie A1–1
Ceará — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará19 matchesRed Bull Bragantino20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.1 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.3 goals/match
11.5 shots/matchShots19/20▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target19/20▲ 4.2 shots/match
41.5%Possession19/20● 47.9%
4.26 corners/matchCorners19/20● 4.8 corners/match
2.37 cards/matchCards19/202.8 cards/match
14 fouls/matchFouls19/2012.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCearáRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCeará — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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