PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Botafogo 0–1 Palmeiras · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 0–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
62
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Palmeiras): shots 15–8, shots on target 6–2, possession 59%–41%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

weak

Palmeiras's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsBotafogo 15 shots, Palmeiras 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Palmeiras 2 shots
  • Possession59%41%Botafogo 59%, Palmeiras 41%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersBotafogo 4 corners, Palmeiras 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsBotafogo 7 fouls, Palmeiras 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBotafogo 1 card, Palmeiras 2 cards
  • Passes601 passes412 passesBotafogo 601 passes, Palmeiras 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%84%Botafogo 90%, Palmeiras 84%
  • Shots inside box7 shots4 shotsBotafogo 7 shots, Palmeiras 4 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksBotafogo 5 blocks, Palmeiras 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save6 savesBotafogo 1 save, Palmeiras 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesBotafogo 2 offsides, Palmeiras 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Botafogo
1Draws
1Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A1–3
Botafogo — Palmeiras · Serie A1–0
Botafogo — Palmeiras · Serie A3–4
Palmeiras — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo18 matchesPalmeiras18 matches
1.28 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.33 goals/match
0.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/180.83 goals/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots18/1813 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.89 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession18/1851.2%
4.83 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.44 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards18/182.11 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Aug 2025, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headBotafogo — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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