PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio São Januário

Vasco da Gama 1–1 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro drew 1–1.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
44
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco DA Gama and Atletico-MG drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco DA Gama – Atletico-MG): shots 15–17, shots on target 4–4, possession 55%–45%, corners 6–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco DA Gama's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vasco DA Gama's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico-MG show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico-MG's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsVasco DA Gama · Atletico-MG16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasco DA GamaAtletico-MGBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsVasco da Gama 15 shots, Atlético Mineiro 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsVasco da Gama 4 shots, Atlético Mineiro 4 shots
  • Possession55%45%Vasco da Gama 55%, Atlético Mineiro 45%
  • Corners6 corners10 cornersVasco da Gama 6 corners, Atlético Mineiro 10 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsVasco da Gama 10 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardVasco da Gama 2 cards, Atlético Mineiro 1 card
  • Passes429 passes354 passesVasco da Gama 429 passes, Atlético Mineiro 354 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%81%Vasco da Gama 87%, Atlético Mineiro 81%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsVasco da Gama 8 shots, Atlético Mineiro 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksVasco da Gama 3 blocks, Atlético Mineiro 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesVasco da Gama 3 saves, Atlético Mineiro 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesVasco da Gama 0 offsides, Atlético Mineiro 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Vasco da Gama
0Draws
1Atlético Mineiro
Vasco da Gama — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–0
Atlético Mineiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–0
Vasco da Gama — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama17 matchesAtlético Mineiro17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
13.6 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 16.6 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target17/175.12 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession17/1754.3%
4.53 corners/matchCorners17/17● 7.29 corners/match
2.24 cards/matchCards17/172.59 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headVasco da Gama — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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