PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
55
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Sport Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Botafogo): shots 12–13, shots on target 5–5, possession 41%–59%, corners 6–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.38 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo.

5.9 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Botafogo3.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeBotafogoBaseline
Rest days5.9 days3.83 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsSport Recife 12 shots, Botafogo 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSport Recife 5 shots, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Possession41%59%Sport Recife 41%, Botafogo 59%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSport Recife 6 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsSport Recife 12 fouls, Botafogo 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsSport Recife 1 card, Botafogo 2 cards
  • Passes349 passes512 passesSport Recife 349 passes, Botafogo 512 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%85%Sport Recife 79%, Botafogo 85%
  • Shots inside box8 shots7 shotsSport Recife 8 shots, Botafogo 7 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockSport Recife 1 block, Botafogo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesSport Recife 4 saves, Botafogo 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideSport Recife 1 offside, Botafogo 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife13 matchesBotafogo14 matches
0.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲ 0.5 goals/match
13.1 shots/matchShots13/14▲ 14.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 5.21 shots/match
48.7%Possession13/14● 51.3%
6.54 corners/match ●Corners13/144.5 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/142.21 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Jul 2025, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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