PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceará 2–0 Sport Recife · Serie A

Ceará

WLDWD
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–0.

Shots
79
Shots on target
34
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat Sport Recife 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ceara – Sport Recife): shots 7–9, shots on target 3–4, possession 42%–58%, corners 5–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.4%PossessionCeara · Sport Recife● 49%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCearaSport RecifeBaseline
Possession39.4%49%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots9 shotsCeará 7 shots, Sport Recife 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCeará 3 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Possession42%58%Ceará 42%, Sport Recife 58%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersCeará 5 corners, Sport Recife 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsCeará 14 fouls, Sport Recife 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsCeará 1 card, Sport Recife 4 cards
  • Passes334 passes452 passesCeará 334 passes, Sport Recife 452 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%84%Ceará 79%, Sport Recife 84%
  • Shots inside box3 shots4 shotsCeará 3 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockCeará 2 blocks, Sport Recife 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveCeará 4 saves, Sport Recife 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesCeará 3 offsides, Sport Recife 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
1Draws
2Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Ceará · Serie B2–1
Ceará — Sport Recife · Serie B0–0
Ceará — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1
Sport Recife — Ceará · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará9 matchesSport Recife9 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 12.6 shots/match
4.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.78 shots/match
39.4%Possession9/9● 49%
3.33 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.44 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards9/92.67 cards/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls9/913.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCearáSport Recife
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCeará — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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