PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas

Ceará 1–0 Vitória · Serie A

Ceará

WLWLD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
83
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat Vitoria 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceara – Vitoria): shots 18–12, shots on target 8–3, possession 50%–50%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ceara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsCeará 18 shots, Vitória 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsCeará 8 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Possession50%50%Ceará 50%, Vitória 50%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCeará 3 corners, Vitória 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls31 foulsCeará 15 fouls, Vitória 31 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsCeará 0 cards, Vitória 3 cards
  • Passes334 passes330 passesCeará 334 passes, Vitória 330 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%82%Ceará 78%, Vitória 82%
  • Shots inside box12 shots7 shotsCeará 12 shots, Vitória 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksCeará 4 blocks, Vitória 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves7 savesCeará 3 saves, Vitória 7 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides3 offsidesCeará 5 offsides, Vitória 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
0Draws
2Vitória
Vitória — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Vitória · Serie B0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará7 matchesVitória7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/74.14 shots/match
40%Possession7/7● 45.9%
2.71 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls7/716.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCearáVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headCeará — Vitória
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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