PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

Bahia

DDLWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
24
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Botafogo): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–4, possession 48%–52%, corners 3–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible away split

weak

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsBahia 9 shots, Botafogo 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsBahia 2 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
  • Possession48%52%Bahia 48%, Botafogo 52%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersBahia 3 corners, Botafogo 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsBahia 11 fouls, Botafogo 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsBahia 3 cards, Botafogo 4 cards
  • Passes424 passes456 passesBahia 424 passes, Botafogo 456 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%85%Bahia 85%, Botafogo 85%
  • Shots inside box4 shots10 shotsBahia 4 shots, Botafogo 10 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks8 blocksBahia 3 blocks, Botafogo 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveBahia 4 saves, Botafogo 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesBahia 2 offsides, Botafogo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bahia
1Draws
2Botafogo
Bahia — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Botafogo — Bahia · Serie A1–2
Botafogo — Bahia · Serie A3–0
Bahia — Botafogo · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia7 matchesBotafogo7 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
11.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession7/750.7%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/72.57 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/714.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBahiaBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
Head-to-headBahia — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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