PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceará 2–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
23
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceara beat Vasco DA Gama 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ceara – Vasco DA Gama): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–3, possession 36%–64%, corners 1–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceara, Vasco DA Gama.

3.23 days ▲Rest daysCeara · Vasco DA Gama3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearaVasco DA GamaBaseline
Rest days3.23 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Vasco DA Gama have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.8%PossessionCeara · Vasco DA Gama● 52.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCearaVasco DA GamaBaseline
Possession38.8%52.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsCeará 11 shots, Vasco da Gama 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsCeará 2 shots, Vasco da Gama 3 shots
  • Possession36%64%Ceará 36%, Vasco da Gama 64%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersCeará 1 corner, Vasco da Gama 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsCeará 14 fouls, Vasco da Gama 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsCeará 3 cards, Vasco da Gama 4 cards
  • Passes335 passes618 passesCeará 335 passes, Vasco da Gama 618 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%89%Ceará 81%, Vasco da Gama 89%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsCeará 7 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksCeará 2 blocks, Vasco da Gama 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves0 savesCeará 2 saves, Vasco da Gama 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesCeará 1 offside, Vasco da Gama 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará4 matchesVasco da Gama4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots4/410.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
38.8%Possession4/4● 52.5%
2.25 corners/matchCorners4/42.25 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/42.5 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Apr 2025, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCearáVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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