Belgian Pro League · 2026

KAA Gent vs KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.860.29
Expected goals
1.160.99
Shots
12.411.7
Possession
45.6%46.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: KV Kortrijk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: KV Kortrijk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KV Kortrijk's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Kortrijk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.29 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Kortrijk have a visible away split

weak

KV Kortrijk's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match11.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

KV Kortrijk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KV Kortrijk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKAA Gent · KV Kortrijk11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKAA GentKV KortrijkBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KAA Gent favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · KV Kortrijk in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KAA Gent7 matchesKV Kortrijk7 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.29 goals/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.14 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.99 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.7 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.86 shots/match
45.6%Possession7/7● 46.1%
4.57 corners/match ●Corners7/73.43 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4KAA Gent
0Draws
1KV Kortrijk
KAA Gent — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League1–2
KV Kortrijk — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League0–1
KV Kortrijk — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League0–2
KAA Gent — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League3–2
KAA Gent — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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