PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WLLDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.81.4
Expected goals
2.141.47
Shots
1513.2
Possession
51.4%56.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Olympique de Marseille13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match17 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 2 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens5 matchesOlympique de Marseille5 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.47 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.2 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match
51.4%Possession5/5● 56.4%
7 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
0Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — RC Lens · Ligue 13–1
RC Lens — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–1
Olympique de Marseille — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–3
Olympique de Marseille — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness51 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headRC Lens — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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