PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Santos

DWWWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.271.5
Expected goals
1.381.42
Shots
15.913.2
Possession
49.2%49.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Santos in 3 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino26 matchesSantos26 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals22/221.42 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613.2 shots/match
5.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.96 shots/match
49.2%Possession26/26● 49.7%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners26/265.27 corners/match
4.8 cards/matchCards5/73.14 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2613 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Red Bull Bragantino
1Draws
1Santos
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A2–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–3
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness44 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoSantos
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headRed Bull Bragantino — Santos
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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