PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lille vs RC Lens · Ligue 1

Lille

DWWLW
vsPre-match analysis

RC Lens

LLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.83
Expected goals
1.322.01
Shots
12.815
Possession
47.8%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · RC Lens15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleRC LensBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · RC Lens in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille6 matchesRC Lens6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 2.01 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 15 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/66.5 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/6● 50.8%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/6● 7 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/611.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lille
0Draws
1RC Lens
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 13–0
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 13–0
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — Lille · Ligue 10–2
Lille — RC Lens · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLille — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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