Serie A · 2026

Udinese vs Milan · Serie A

Udinese

WLLLL
vsPre-match analysis

Milan

WDDWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.83
Expected goals
1.221.37
Shots
14.312.8
Possession
48.5%60.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: milan have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Udinese have a visible home split

weak

Udinese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsUdinese · Milan12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseMilanBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match9 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.5%PossessionUdinese · Milan● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseMilanBaseline
Possession48.5%60.6%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Milan in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese6 matchesMilan6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 1.37 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/512.8 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/54.2 shots/match
48.5%Possession6/5● 60.6%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners6/52.8 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/510.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
0Draws
4Milan
Milan — Udinese · Serie A0–3
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–3
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–4
Milan — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Milan · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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