Serie A · 2026

Udinese vs Milan · Serie A

Udinese

DWLLL
vsPre-match analysis

Milan

WWDDW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.62
Expected goals
1.321.37
Shots
14.212.8
Possession
45.8%60.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: milan have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Udinese have a visible home split

weak

Udinese's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Udinese show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Udinese's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsUdinese · Milan12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseMilanBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match9 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.8%PossessionUdinese · Milan● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseMilanBaseline
Possession45.8%60.6%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Milan in 9 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese5 matchesMilan5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.37 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/5● 60.6%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
0Draws
4Milan
Milan — Udinese · Serie A0–3
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–3
Udinese — Milan · Serie A0–4
Milan — Udinese · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Milan · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required