PitchMath
UEFA Conference League · 2026

HNK Hajduk Split vs AFC Ajax · UEFA Conference League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.253.5
Possession
51.8%65%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/matchCornersHNK Hajduk Split · AFC Ajax● 9.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitAFC AjaxBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match9.25 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AFC Ajax have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8%PossessionHNK Hajduk Split · AFC Ajax● 65%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHNK Hajduk SplitAFC AjaxBaseline
Possession51.8%65%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: HNK Hajduk Split favored in 0 of 7 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 0 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

HNK Hajduk Split4 matchesAFC Ajax4 matches
3.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 10.3 shots/match
51.8%Possession4/4● 65%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 9.25 corners/match
18.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Conference League

Goals per match rankingShots on target per match rankingShare of matches scored in ranking
TeamsHNK Hajduk SplitAFC Ajax
CompetitionUEFA Conference League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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