PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Lanús 2–1 Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Lanús

LDLWW
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lanús won 2–1.

Shots
624
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.211.59
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lanús beat Estudiantes de La Plata 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lanús – Estudiantes de La Plata): shots 6–24, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.21–1.59, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estudiantes de La Plata's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLanús · Estudiantes de La Plata14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLanúsEstudiantes de La PlataBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots24 shotsLanús 6 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 24 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsLanús 3 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG1.59 xGLanús 1.21 xG, Estudiantes de La Plata 1.59 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lanús 41%, Estudiantes de La Plata 59%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersLanús 1 corner, Estudiantes de La Plata 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsLanús 11 fouls, Estudiantes de La Plata 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsLanús 2 cards, Estudiantes de La Plata 2 cards
  • Passes394 passes564 passesLanús 394 passes, Estudiantes de La Plata 564 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.1%83.7%Lanús 76.1%, Estudiantes de La Plata 83.7%
  • Shots inside box4 shots13 shotsLanús 4 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 13 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block9 blocksLanús 1 block, Estudiantes de La Plata 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves1 saveLanús 4 saves, Estudiantes de La Plata 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesLanús 2 offsides, Estudiantes de La Plata 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lanús
0Draws
0Estudiantes de La Plata
Estudiantes de La Plata — Lanús · Liga Profesional de Fútbol0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lanús favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Estudiantes de La Plata in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lanús29 matchesEstudiantes de La Plata27 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/271.07 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed29/27▲ 0.7 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals11/111.31 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots29/27▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target29/27▲ 5.22 shots/match
51.3%Possession29/27● 55.8%
4.1 corners/matchCorners29/27● 4.19 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls29/2712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 22 Sept 2026, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLanúsEstudiantes de La Plata
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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