PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

Avaí

DWLLL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.812.15
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – São Paulo): shots 17–16, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.81–2.15, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí have a visible home split

moderate

Avaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

weak

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsAvaí 17 shots, São Paulo 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAvaí 6 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG2.15 xGAvaí 1.81 xG, São Paulo 2.15 xG
  • Possession54%46%Avaí 54%, São Paulo 46%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersAvaí 4 corners, São Paulo 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls23 foulsAvaí 11 fouls, São Paulo 23 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí9 matchesSão Paulo9 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.37 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.11 shots/match
50.8%Possession9/9● 54%
3.56 corners/matchCorners9/9● 6.78 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls9/915.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jun 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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